World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

LIVE
43% YES
0.1% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, This outcome leads at 43% odds with $674K positioned by 674 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$674K
24h Volume
$17.5K
Active Traders
674

This market resolves YES if iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by december 31, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

43%
$290K staked

Market predicts YES

57%
$384K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$77K
24h Change
-0.1%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$674K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 29/100
$674K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~236
Number of trades674
Total volume$674K
Liquidity$77K