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Volume

$22.8M

Brazil Presidential Election

Strong consensus forming

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?51%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?33%

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?5%

# of seats won by PPLE in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

Strong consensus forming

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?53%

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?47%

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?1%

Ukraine election called by...?

Strong consensus forming

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?20%

Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?3%

Ukraine election called in 2025?1%

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?67%

Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?12%

Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?7%

Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?87%

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?8%

Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?2%

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Balanced market conditions

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?72%

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?24%

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?4%

# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?

Strong consensus forming

Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 70 and 79 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?87%

Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 80 and 89 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?4%

Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?2%