Today's Signal

<120

Updated: 2026-03-03T00:01:35.441Z

Traders currently favor <120 at 61%, with 120–134 trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-23 days
Total Volume
$1.4M
24h Change
+$37K
Active Markets
3
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
<120
#1 <120
58%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
120–134
#2 120–134
42%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
180+
180+✦ Surprise
1%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking # of seats won by pple in 2026 thailand legislative election. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements and credible sources.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on official announcements, news developments, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $1.4M shows significant market interest with 125 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45-60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon). This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the People’s Party (PPLE) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election. This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the People’s Party (PPLE), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 26, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Feb 8, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

<120 leads at 58%, with 120–134 at 42% -- a 16-point lead resolving soon. $1.4M has traded across 125 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$1.4M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. <120's 58% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 58% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the # of seats won by PPLE in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?58%—View market
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?42%—View market
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?1%—View market
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?0%—View market
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 165 and 179 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?0%—View market
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 150 and 164 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?0%—View market
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