Today's Signal

70–79

Updated: 2026-03-04T00:02:39.046Z

The market strongly leans toward 70–79 at 87%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-24 days
Total Volume
$271K
24h Change
+$7.0K
Active Markets
6
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
70–79
#1 70–79
87%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
80–89
#2 80–89
4%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
<60
<60✦ Surprise
3%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking # of seats won by pt in 2026 thailand legislative election. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements and credible sources.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on official announcements, news developments, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $271K shows significant market interest with 283 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon). This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election. This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 26, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Feb 8, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

70–79 leads at 87%, with 80–89 at 4% -- a commanding 83-point lead resolving soon. $271K has traded across 283 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$271K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. 70–79's 87% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 87% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the # of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 70 and 79 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?87%—View market
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 80 and 89 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?4%—View market
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?3%—View market
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 60 and 69 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?2%—View market
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?1%—View market
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 100 and 109 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?1%—View market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms