Today's Signal

How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there

Updated: 2 hours ago

The market strongly favors How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there at 100%, with a commanding lead over the field.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-1886 days
Total Volume
$12.3M
24h Change
+$321K
Active Markets
3
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there
#1 How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
What will the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi
#2 What will the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi
58%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
What will the USD price of Filecoin ($FIL)
What will the USD price of Filecoin ($FIL)✦ Surprise
50%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking how many confirmed coronavirus cases will there be at eoy in the usa. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can position themselves based on their expectations. The outcome will be determined based on official economic data releases and central bank announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on economic data releases, central bank communications, inflation reports, and employment figures. Trading volume of $12.3M shows significant market interest with 360 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This is a scalar market on the number of confirmed coronavirus cases there will be at the end of 2020 in the United States, according to https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html. The lower bound for this market is 9 million and the upper bound is 15 million - you can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short share price corresponds with number of confirmed cases. The market will be settled according to https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html at roughly 12am EST on January 1st, 2021. Long and Short shares will settle proportional to the final value, in the case of the final value being between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Share is capped at $1. Refer to calculator. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Oct 12, 2020
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 2, 2021
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there leads at 100%, with What will the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi at 58% -- a commanding 42-point lead resolving soon. $12.3M has traded across 360 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$12.3M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA?100%—View market
What will the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi be at the end of 2020, according to DefiPulse?58%—View market
What will the USD price of Filecoin ($FIL) be on November 17th, 2020?50%—View market
Will Coinbase begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021?0%—View market
Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021?0%—View market
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021?0%—View market
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