Today's Signal

Zohran Mamdani

Updated: 2026-03-02T18:01:44.720Z

No clear favorite yet—Zohran Mamdani leads at 1% with Mira Nair (Mamdani's Mom) close at 1%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~0 days
Total Volume
$1.5M
24h Change
+$39K
Active Markets
1
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking who will be named in newly released epstein files by february 28. Each candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on candidates they believe will win, or NO on candidates they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on polling data, endorsements, fundraising numbers, debates, and major political developments. Trading volume of $1.5M shows significant market interest with 42 active participants.

This page tracks market sentiment, not official polls or endorsements.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only previously unreleased files, as of market creation, which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify. Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities. Previously unreleased files is inclusive of any written, audio, photo or video documentation (e.g., qualifying photos which depict the listed individual will count). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Feb 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Mar 3, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Zohran Mamdani leads at 0%, with Mira Nair (Mamdani's Mom) at 0% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them resolving soon. $1.5M has traded across 42 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$1.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Zohran Mamdani's 0% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 0% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Zohran Mamdani be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?0%—View market
Will Mira Nair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?0%—View market
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?0%—View market
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?0%—View market
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?0%—View market
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?0%—View market
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