Today's Signal

160-179

Updated: 2026-03-03T18:00:33.704Z

No clear favorite yet—180-199 leads at 22% with 200-219 close at 21%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~3 days
Total Volume
$34.8M
24h Change
+$904K
Active Markets
11
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
160-179
#1 160-179
25%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
140-159
#2 140-159
21%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
180-199
180-199✦ Surprise
20%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks elon musk # tweets february 27 - march 6, 2026? (between Feb 24, 2026 and Mar 6, 2026). It matters because of material impact on outcomes and bragging rights and prediction accuracy. Market prices tend to move when there are primary sources and credible reporting, historical patterns and trends.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 27 12:00 PM ET to March 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Feb 24, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Mar 6, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

160-179 leads at 25%, with 140-159 at 21% -- an unusually tight race -- only 4% separates them 3 days out. $34.8M has traded across 119,321 positions with 3 days until resolution.
$34.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. 160-179's 25% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 25% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Elon Musk # tweets February 27 - March 6, 2026? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?25%—View market
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?21%—View market
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?20%—View market
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?11%—View market
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?8%—View market
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?7%—View market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms