Today's Signal

Golden - KPop Demon Hunters

Updated: 2026-03-02T00:03:22.014Z

The market currently favors "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" at 84%, but the outcome is not fully settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~13 days
Total Volume
$363K
24h Change
+$9.4K
Active Markets
3
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Golden - KPop Demon Hunters
#1 Golden - KPop Demon Hunters
85%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Medium
I Lied to You - Sinners
#2 I Lied to You - Sinners
13%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Train Dreams - Train Dreams
Train Dreams - Train Dreams✦ Surprise
1%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking oscars 2026: best original song winner. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can position themselves based on their expectations. The outcome will be determined based on official economic data releases and central bank announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on economic data releases, central bank communications, inflation reports, and employment figures. Trading volume of $363K shows significant market interest with 54 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Song. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Song when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 22, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Mar 15, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Golden - KPop Demon Hunters leads at 85%, with I Lied to You - Sinners at 13% -- a commanding 72-point lead 13 days out. $363K has traded across 54 positions with 13 days until resolution.
$363K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Golden - KPop Demon Hunters's 85% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 85% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Oscars 2026: Best Original Song Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?85%—View market
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?13%—View market
Will Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?1%—View market
Will Dear Me - Diane Warren: Relentless win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?0%—View market
Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?0%—View market
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