Today's Signal

Match Winner

Updated: 2026-03-03T18:02:02.820Z

The market strongly leans toward Map 1 Winner at 99%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~0 days
Total Volume
$1.2M
24h Change
+$32K
Active Markets
3
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Match Winner
#1 Match Winner
100%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
High
Money behind it
High
Map 1 Winner
#2 Map 1 Winner
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
O/U 2.5 Games
O/U 2.5 Games✦ Surprise
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking counter-strike: pain vs passion ua (bo3) - esl pro league stage 1. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $1.2M shows significant market interest with 983 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between paiN and Passion UA in the ESL Pro League Stage 1, initially scheduled for March 3 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against Passion UA. This market will resolve to "Passion UA" if Passion UA win the match against paiN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Mar 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Mar 3, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

Match Winner leads at 100%, with Map 1 Winner at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them resolving soon. $1.2M has traded across 983 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$1.2M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Match Winner's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1100%—View market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner100%—View market
Games Total: O/U 2.5100%—View market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner0%—View market
Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)0%—View market
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)0%—View market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms