Today's Signal

Khamzat Chimaev

Updated: 2 hours ago

Khamzat Chimaev is ahead at 47% with Nassourdine Imavov at 18%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~328 days
Total Volume
$284K
24h Change
+$7.4K
Active Markets
8
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
Khamzat Chimaev
47%
#1 Khamzat Chimaev
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
Nassourdine Imavov
18%
#2 Nassourdine Imavov
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Low
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
Low
Quietly backed
Dricus Du Plessis
✦ Surprise
Dricus Du Plessis
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Low
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking who will be ufc middleweight champion at the end of 2026. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $284K shows significant market interest with 9 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC https://www.ufc.com/athletes.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Feb 6, 2026
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? leads with approximately 47% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
📈

Related Markets

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?47%$27KTrade
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?18%$2KTrade
Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?15%$21KTrade
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?14%$2KTrade
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?6%$2KTrade
Will Brendan Allen be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?5%$2KTrade
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms