Today's Signal

Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet—Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run leads at 32% with Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run close at 23%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~328 days
Total Volume
$271K
24h Change
+$7.0K
Active Markets
70
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run
32%
#1 Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
Low
Quietly backed
Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run
23%
#2 Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
LeBron James announce a Presidential run
✦ Surprise
LeBron James announce a Presidential run
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Low
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking who will announce presidential run before 2027. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $271K shows significant market interest with 22 active participants.

This page tracks market sentiment, not official polls or endorsements.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Feb 6, 2026
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027? leads with approximately 32% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
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Related Markets

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?32%$0KTrade
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?23%$5KTrade
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?22%$23KTrade
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?20%$3KTrade
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?18%$3KTrade
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?17%$9KTrade
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