Today's Signal

State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet—State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? leads at 100% with Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? close at 99%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~2 days
Total Volume
$527K
24h Change
+$13.7K
Active Markets
24
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
100%
#1 State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
99%
#2 Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
✦ Surprise
Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Low
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking which companies will run ads during the 2026 pro football championship. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $527K shows significant market interest with 26 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LX on NBC, scheduled for February 8, 2026, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised. Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify. The resolution source for this market is the official broadcast of Super Bowl LX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 10, 2025
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Feb 8, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? leads with approximately 100% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
📈

Related Markets

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?100%$27KTrade
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?99%$18KTrade
Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?98%$25KTrade
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?98%$39KTrade
Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?98%$26KTrade
Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?98%$9KTrade
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms