Today's Signal

USA

Updated: 2026-03-02T00:02:05.170Z

The market currently favors USA at 49%, with Japan close behind at 25%, signaling a competitive race that is not yet settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~16 days
Total Volume
$1.1M
24h Change
+$28K
Active Markets
9
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
USA
#1 USA
49%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Japan
#2 Japan
25%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Venezuela
Venezuela✦ Surprise
3%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking wbc winner 2026. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $1.1M shows significant market interest with 38 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to the team that wins the 2026 World Baseball Classic (WBC). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 WBC per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 WBC tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the tournament organizer https://www.mlb.com/world-baseball-classic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 21, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Mar 17, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

USA leads at 49%, with Japan at 25% -- a commanding 24-point lead 16 days out. $1.1M has traded across 38 positions with 16 days until resolution.
$1.1M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. USA's 49% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 49% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the WBC Winner 2026 event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?49%—View market
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?25%—View market
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?18%—View market
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?3%—View market
Will Mexico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?2%—View market
Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?1%—View market
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