Today's Signal

Matthew Schaefer

Updated: 2026-03-02T00:03:48.616Z

The market strongly favors Matthew Schaefer at 94%, but the outcome is not fully settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~120 days
Total Volume
$267K
24h Change
+$6.9K
Active Markets
6
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Matthew Schaefer
#1 Matthew Schaefer
94%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Ivan Demidov
#2 Ivan Demidov
4%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Beckett Sennecke
Beckett Sennecke✦ Surprise
3%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking nhl calder memorial trophy winner. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $267K shows significant market interest with 9 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Oct 22, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Matthew Schaefer leads at 94%, with Ivan Demidov at 4% -- a commanding 90-point lead 4 months out. $267K has traded across 9 positions with 120 days until resolution.
$267K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Matthew Schaefer's 94% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 94% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?94%—View market
Will Ivan Demidov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?4%—View market
Will Beckett Sennecke win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?3%—View market
Will Nikita Chibrikov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?1%—View market
Will Justin Sourdif win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?1%—View market
Will Dalibor Dvorsky win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?1%—View market
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