Today's Signal

annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

Updated: 2 hours ago

annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January? is ahead at 41% with annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January? at 26%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~5 days
Total Volume
$267K
24h Change
+$6.9K
Active Markets
7
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?
41%
#1 annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?
26%
#2 annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Medium
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?
✦ Surprise
annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Low
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking january inflation us - annual (lower brackets). Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $267K shows significant market interest with 109 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending January 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending in January 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for January 2026 https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, currently scheduled to be released on February 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report https://www.bls.gov/schedule. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 13, 2025
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Feb 11, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January? leads with approximately 41% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
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Related Markets

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Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?41%$38KTrade
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?26%$36KTrade
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in January?14%$24KTrade
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?11%$34KTrade
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?7%$47KTrade
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?2%$33KTrade
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