Today's Signal

global temperature increase by

Updated: 2 hours ago

Traders currently favor global temperature increase by at 56%, with global temperature increase by trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~4 days
Total Volume
$824K
24h Change
+$21.4K
Active Markets
6
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
global temperature increase by
✦ Surprise
global temperature increase by
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
global temperature increase by
35%
#2 global temperature increase by
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Medium
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking january 2026 temperature increase (ºc). Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $824K shows significant market interest with 223 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt. If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 12, 2025
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Feb 10, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026? leads with approximately 56% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
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Related Markets

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?56%$136KTrade
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?35%$136KTrade
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?5%$166KTrade
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?2%$112KTrade
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?2%$188KTrade
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?1%$87KTrade
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