Today's Signal

US GDP growth in Q4 2025

Updated: 2 hours ago

US GDP growth in Q4 2025 is ahead at 47% with US GDP growth in Q4 2025 at 23%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-8 days
Total Volume
$308K
24h Change
+$8.0K
Active Markets
7
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
US GDP growth in Q4 2025
✦ Surprise
US GDP growth in Q4 2025
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
US GDP growth in Q4 2025
23%
#2 US GDP growth in Q4 2025
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Medium
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
Medium
Attention and money aligned
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking us gdp growth in q4 2025. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $308K shows significant market interest with 84 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 29, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 30, 2025
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 29, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%? leads with approximately 47% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
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Related Markets

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?47%$149KTrade
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?23%$25KTrade
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?18%$27KTrade
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?8%$20KTrade
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?4%$22KTrade
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?4%$23KTrade
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