Today's Signal

Nathan MacKinnon

Updated: 2 hours ago

Traders currently favor Nathan MacKinnon at 60%, with Connor McDavid trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~144 days
Total Volume
$407K
24h Change
+$10.6K
Active Markets
5

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
Nathan MacKinnon
60%
#1 Nathan MacKinnon
👥 People watching
High
💵 Money behind it
High
Attention and money aligned
Connor McDavid
16%
#2 Connor McDavid
👥 People watching
Low
💵 Money behind it
High
Quietly backed
Macklin Celebrini
✦ Surprise
Macklin Celebrini
👥 People watching
Low
💵 Money behind it
High
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking nhl hart memorial trophy winner. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $407K shows significant market interest with 12 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Feb 6, 2026
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? leads with approximately 60% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
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Related Markets

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?60%$9KTrade
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?16%$6KTrade
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?15%$10KTrade
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?9%$6KTrade
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?1%$4KTrade
Will Kirill Kaprizov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?0%$2KTrade

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.