Today's Signal

Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yetβ€”Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? leads at 12% with Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? close at 12%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~8 days
Total Volume
$2.0M
24h Change
+$53K
Active Markets
22
⚑

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
12%
#1 Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
πŸ‘₯ People watching
●●●●●
High
πŸ’΅ Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
12%
#2 Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
πŸ‘₯ People watching
●●●●●
High
πŸ’΅ Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
✦ Surprise
Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
πŸ‘₯ People watching
●●●●●
Low
πŸ’΅ Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking elon musk # tweets february 6 - february 13, 2026. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $2.0M shows significant market interest with 301 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market β€” you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • βœ“Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • βœ“Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • βœ“This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 6 12:00 PM ET to February 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 15, 2025
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Feb 13, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? leads with approximately 12% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
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Related Markets

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Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?12%$40KTrade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?12%$37KTrade
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?11%$60KTrade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?11%$40KTrade
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?10%$41KTrade
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?8%$40KTrade

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.