Today's Signal

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Updated: 2 hours ago

The market strongly favors No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? at 80%, with a commanding lead over the field.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~41 days
Total Volume
$289K
24h Change
+$7.5K
Active Markets
3
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
80%
#1 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
18%
#2 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Low
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
✦ Surprise
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Low
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
Medium
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking bank of japan decision in march. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $289K shows significant market interest with 53 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for March is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026 https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's March 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 18, 2026
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Mar 19, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? leads with approximately 80% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
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Related Markets

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?80%$108KTrade
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?18%$76KTrade
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?2%$50KTrade
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?0%$54KTrade
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