Today's Signal

Canada

Updated: 2 hours ago

Canada is ahead at 43% with United States at 31%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~16 days
Total Volume
$406K
24h Change
+$10.6K
Active Markets
7
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
Canada
43%
#1 Canada
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Attention and money aligned
United States
31%
#2 United States
👥 People watching
●●●●●
High
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
Czech Republic
✦ Surprise
Czech Republic
👥 People watching
●●●●●
Low
💵 Money behind it
●●●●●
High
Quietly backed
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking 2026 winter olympics: ice hockey gold medal winner. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $406K shows significant market interest with 27 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the listed team/country that wins the gold medal for Men’s Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics. If it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Men’s Ice Hockey Olympic gold medal according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no gold medal for Men’s Ice Hockey awarded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee https://www.olympics.com/.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 24, 2025
Market Launch
Market opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Feb 22, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

As of the latest prediction market data, Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? leads with approximately 43% probability. These odds reflect market sentiment, not polls or official projections.
Each candidate market is a separate YES/NO contract. You can buy YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them. Market inefficiencies, fees, and the possibility of unlisted candidates mean probabilities rarely sum to exactly 100%.
Prices reflect current market belief based on where traders are putting their money. A 28% price means the market currently believes there's a 28% chance of that outcome. Use the Crowd vs Money signals to understand how attention differs from conviction.
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Related Markets

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?43%$65KTrade
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?31%$39KTrade
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?12%$33KTrade
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?7%$28KTrade
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?4%$41KTrade
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?4%$43KTrade
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