World Prediction Markets·Middle East·2026

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

LIVE
5% YES
1.7% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, the position of Supreme Leader of Iran leads at 5% odds with $483K positioned by 483 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$483K
24h Volume
$12.6K
Active Traders
483

This market resolves YES if the position of supreme leader of iran be abolished. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

5%
$24K staked

Market predicts YES

95%
$459K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$62K
24h Change
-1.7%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$483K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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📈Part Of

Next Supreme Leader of Iran?

40 markets$8.2M volume
Top Outcome
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?19.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 26/100
$483K traded · Medium liquidity
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Polymarket5%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~303
Number of trades483
Total volume$483K
Liquidity$62K