Politics Prediction Markets·Global Elections·2026

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

LIVE
2% YES
0.7% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, Sarah Knafo leads at 2% odds with $2.5M positioned by 2,463 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$2.5M
24h Volume
$64K
Active Traders
2,463

This market resolves YES if sarah knafo win the paris mayor election. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

2%
$49K staked

Market predicts YES

98%
$2.41M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$97K
24h Change
-0.7%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$2.46M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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🗳️Part Of

Paris Mayoral Election

8 markets$3.7M volume
Top Outcome
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?60.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 30/100
$2.5M traded · Medium liquidity
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Polymarket2%
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Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~0
Number of trades2,463
Total volume$2.5M
Liquidity$97K