World Prediction Markets·Middle East·2026
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
LIVE13% YES
↓ 1.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, Alireza Arafi leads at 13% odds with $1.2M positioned by 1,205 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$1.2M
24h Volume
$31K
Active Traders
1,205
This market resolves YES if alireza arafi be the next supreme leader of iran. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
13%
$157K staked
Market predicts YES
87%
$1.05M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$32K
24h Change
-1.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$1.21M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Next Supreme Leader of Iran?
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Top Outcome
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?19.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 30/100
$1.2M traded · Medium liquidity
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Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~303
Number of trades1,205
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$32K