Macro Prediction Markets·General·2026

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

LIVE
0% YES
0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, This outcome leads at 0% odds with $12.3M positioned by 61,483 trades and resolves January 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2026
Total Volume
$12.3M
24h Volume
$320K
Active Traders
61,483

This market resolves YES if us strikes iran by january 23, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

0%
$0 staked

Market predicts YES

100%
$12.30M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$0
24h Change
-0.4%
Average Trade
$200
Total Volume
$12.30M
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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📊Part Of

US strikes Iran by...?

32 markets$180.5M volume
Top Outcome
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?53.00%
Market Confidence
MEDIUM
Score: 58/100
$12.3M traded · Limited liquidity
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KalshiTBD
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~-6
Number of trades61,483
Total volume$12.3M
Liquidity$0