World Prediction Markets·Middle East·2026

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

LIVE
7% YES
2.9% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 2, 2026, there leads at 7% odds with $159K positioned by 159 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$159K
24h Volume
$4.1K
Active Traders
159

This market resolves YES if there be no new supreme leader of iran by june 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

7%
$11K staked

Market predicts YES

93%
$148K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$14K
24h Change
-2.9%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$159K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Next Supreme Leader of Iran?

40 markets$4.5M volume
Top Outcome
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?20.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 22/100
$159K traded · Medium liquidity
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Polymarket7%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD

Additional platforms coming soon

Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~304
Number of trades159
Total volume$159K
Liquidity$14K