World Prediction Markets·Middle East·2026
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
LIVE9% YES
↓ 2.5% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, the position of Supreme Leader of Iran leads at 9% odds with $317K positioned by 316 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$317K
24h Volume
$8.2K
Active Traders
316
This market resolves YES if the position of supreme leader of iran be abolished. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
9%
$29K staked
Market predicts YES
91%
$288K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$40K
24h Change
-2.5%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$317K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Top Outcome
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?21.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 24/100
$317K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~303
Number of trades316
Total volume$317K
Liquidity$40K