Today's Signal

June 30, 2026

Updated: 2026-03-03T06:02:36.771Z

The market strongly favors April 30, 2026, but the unusually high probabilities across options suggest a potential issue with the market data.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~304 days
Total Volume
$352K
24h Change
+$9.1K
Active Markets
6
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
June 30, 2026
#1 June 30, 2026
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
December 31, 2026
#2 December 31, 2026
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
May 31, 2026
May 31, 2026✦ Surprise
99%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking will paradex launch a token by ___. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on verified on-chain data and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on price action, on-chain metrics, regulatory developments, and market momentum. Trading volume of $352K shows significant market interest with 746 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paradex https://www.paradex.trade/ officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Paradex, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 1, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

June 30, 2026 leads at 100%, with December 31, 2026 at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them 10 months out. $352K has traded across 746 positions with 304 days until resolution.
$352K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. June 30, 2026's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Will Paradex launch a token by ___? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Paradex launch a token by June 30 2026?100%—View market
Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2026?100%—View market
Will Paradex launch a token by September 30 2026?100%—View market
Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?99%—View market
Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026?99%—View market
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?99%—View market
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