Politics Prediction Markets·Middle East·2026

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?

LIVE
99% YES
3.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 99% odds with $451K positioned by 451 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$451K
24h Volume
$11.7K
Active Traders
451

This market resolves YES if us or israel strike iran on march 4, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

99%
$447K staked

Market predicts YES

1%
$5K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$50K
24h Change
+3.4%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$451K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The crowd is overwhelmingly convinced YES will happen. High conviction trades suggest strong consensus, but watch for contrarian signals if news shifts.

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🗳️Part Of

US/Israel strikes Iran on...?

10 markets$7.2M volume
Top Outcome
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?100.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 14/100
$451K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~7
Number of trades451
Total volume$451K
Liquidity$50K