Politics Prediction Markets·Trump Presidency·2026

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

LIVE
7% YES
0.7% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 7% odds with $375K positioned by 374 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$375K
24h Volume
$9.7K
Active Traders
374

This market resolves YES if trump resign by december 31, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

7%
$26K staked

Market predicts YES

93%
$349K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$90K
24h Change
-0.7%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$375K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 27/100
$375K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~303
Number of trades374
Total volume$375K
Liquidity$90K