Macro Prediction Markets·General·2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
LIVE9% YES
↓ 0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, the US confirm that aliens exist leads at 9% odds with $1.8M positioned by 1,763 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$1.8M
24h Volume
$46K
Active Traders
1,763
This market resolves YES if the us confirm that aliens exist before 2027. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
9%
$159K staked
Market predicts YES
91%
$1.60M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$214K
24h Change
-0.4%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$1.76M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 43/100
$1.8M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~328
Number of trades1,763
Total volume$1.8M
Liquidity$214K