Macro Prediction Markets·General·2026
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
LIVE2% YES
↓ 0.8% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, This outcome leads at 2% odds with $1.2M positioned by 1,213 trades and resolves February 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Feb 2026
Total Volume
$1.2M
24h Volume
$32K
Active Traders
1,213
This market resolves YES if tariffs generate >$250b in 2025. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
2%
$24K staked
Market predicts YES
98%
$1.19M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$16K
24h Change
-0.8%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$1.21M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 20/100
$1.2M traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~22
Number of trades1,213
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$16K