Politics Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

LIVE
76% YES
1.7% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 76% odds with $397K positioned by 396 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$397K
24h Volume
$10.3K
Active Traders
396

This market resolves YES if israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

76%
$302K staked

Market predicts YES

24%
$95K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$50K
24h Change
+1.7%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$397K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 16/100
$397K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~28
Number of trades396
Total volume$397K
Liquidity$50K