World Prediction Markets·Foreign Policy·2026
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
LIVE66% YES
↑ 1.1% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 66% odds with $788K positioned by 788 trades and resolves June 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jun 2026
Total Volume
$788K
24h Volume
$20.5K
Active Traders
788
This market resolves YES if iran close the strait of hormuz by june 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
66%
$520K staked
Market predicts YES
34%
$268K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$33K
24h Change
+1.1%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$788K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.
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Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
4 markets$9.6M volume
Top Outcome
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?69.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 24/100
$788K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~119
Number of trades788
Total volume$788K
Liquidity$33K