World Prediction Markets·Foreign Policy·2026
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
LIVE69% YES
↑ 0.9% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, Iran close the Strait of Hormuz leads at 69% odds with $781K positioned by 781 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$781K
24h Volume
$20.3K
Active Traders
781
This market resolves YES if iran close the strait of hormuz before 2027. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
69%
$539K staked
Market predicts YES
31%
$242K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$35K
24h Change
+0.9%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$781K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.
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Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
4 markets$9.6M volume
Top Outcome
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?69.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 27/100
$781K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~303
Number of trades781
Total volume$781K
Liquidity$35K