Tech Prediction Markets·General·2026

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

LIVE
2% YES
1.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, This outcome leads at 2% odds with $2.0M positioned by 2,031 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$2.0M
24h Volume
$53K
Active Traders
2,031

This market resolves YES if china invade taiwan by march 31, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

2%
$41K staked

Market predicts YES

98%
$1.99M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$56K
24h Change
-1.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$2.03M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 31/100
$2.0M traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~53
Number of trades2,031
Total volume$2.0M
Liquidity$56K