Tech Prediction Markets·General·2026

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

LIVE
12% YES
0.7% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, This outcome leads at 12% odds with $8.2M positioned by 8,212 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$8.2M
24h Volume
$214K
Active Traders
8,212

This market resolves YES if china invade taiwan by end of 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

12%
$986K staked

Market predicts YES

88%
$7.23M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$582K
24h Change
-0.7%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$8.21M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 90/100
$8.2M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~328
Number of trades8,212
Total volume$8.2M
Liquidity$582K