Macro Prediction Markets·General·2026

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

LIVE
36% YES
0.1% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in leads at 36% odds with $229K positioned by 457 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$229K
24h Volume
$5.9K
Active Traders
457

This market resolves YES if any category 4 hurricane make landfall in the us in before 2027. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

36%
$82K staked

Market predicts YES

64%
$146K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$3K
24h Change
-0.1%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$229K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 23/100
$229K traded · Limited liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~328
Number of trades457
Total volume$229K
Liquidity$3K