World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
LIVE4% YES
↓ 2.7% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 4% odds with $2.9M positioned by 2,879 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$2.9M
24h Volume
$75K
Active Traders
2,879
This market resolves YES if us x iran ceasefire by march 6. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
4%
$115K staked
Market predicts YES
96%
$2.76M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$83K
24h Change
-2.7%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$2.88M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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📈Part Of
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
7 markets$9.2M volume
Top Outcome
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?74.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 32/100
$2.9M traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~0
Number of trades2,879
Total volume$2.9M
Liquidity$83K