World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

LIVE
74% YES
0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 74% odds with $26K positioned by 26 trades and resolves May 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
May 2026
Total Volume
$26K
24h Volume
$0.7K
Active Traders
26

This market resolves YES if us x iran ceasefire by june 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

74%
$20K staked

Market predicts YES

26%
$7K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$30K
24h Change
+0.4%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$26K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.

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US x Iran ceasefire by...?

7 markets$8.8M volume
Top Outcome
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?74.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 16/100
$26K traded · Medium liquidity
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Polymarket74%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~89
Number of trades26
Total volume$26K
Liquidity$30K