World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

LIVE
57% YES
0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 57% odds with $433K positioned by 433 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$433K
24h Volume
$11.3K
Active Traders
433

This market resolves YES if us x iran ceasefire by april 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

57%
$247K staked

Market predicts YES

43%
$186K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$49K
24h Change
+0.4%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$433K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.

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US x Iran ceasefire by...?

7 markets$9.2M volume
Top Outcome
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?74.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 13/100
$433K traded · Medium liquidity
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Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~0
Number of trades433
Total volume$433K
Liquidity$49K