Politics Prediction Markets·Elections·2026
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
LIVE16% YES
↓ 0.9% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 5, 2026, This outcome leads at 16% odds with $10.0M positioned by 9,990 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$10.0M
24h Volume
$260K
Active Traders
9,990
This market resolves YES if khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
16%
$1.60M staked
Market predicts YES
84%
$8.39M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$452K
24h Change
-0.9%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$9.99M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 87/100
$10.0M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~54
Number of trades9,990
Total volume$10.0M
Liquidity$452K