World Prediction Markets·Foreign Policy·2026
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
LIVE66% YES
↑ 1.1% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 66% odds with $7.5M positioned by 7,515 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$7.5M
24h Volume
$195K
Active Traders
7,515
This market resolves YES if iran close the strait of hormuz by march 31. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
66%
$4.96M staked
Market predicts YES
34%
$2.56M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$118K
24h Change
+1.1%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$7.52M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.
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📈Part Of
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
4 markets$9.3M volume
Top Outcome
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?74.00%
Market Confidence
MEDIUM
Score: 68/100
$7.5M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~303
Number of trades7,515
Total volume$7.5M
Liquidity$118K