World Prediction Markets·Foreign Policy·2026
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
LIVE67% YES
↑ 1.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 67% odds with $763K positioned by 763 trades and resolves June 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jun 2026
Total Volume
$763K
24h Volume
$19.8K
Active Traders
763
This market resolves YES if iran close the strait of hormuz by june 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
67%
$511K staked
Market predicts YES
33%
$252K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$29K
24h Change
+1.2%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$763K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.
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Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
4 markets$9.3M volume
Top Outcome
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?74.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 24/100
$763K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~119
Number of trades763
Total volume$763K
Liquidity$29K