World Prediction Markets·Foreign Policy·2026
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?
LIVE0% YES
↓ 0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 0% odds with $294K positioned by 1,467 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$294K
24h Volume
$7.6K
Active Traders
1,467
This market resolves YES if iran close the strait of hormuz by january 31. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
0%
$0 staked
Market predicts YES
100%
$294K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$0
24h Change
-0.4%
Average Trade
$200
Total Volume
$294K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
4 markets$9.3M volume
Top Outcome
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?74.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 27/100
$294K traded · Limited liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~303
Number of trades1,467
Total volume$294K
Liquidity$0