World Prediction Markets·Foreign Policy·2026
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
LIVE1% YES
↓ 0.5% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 1% odds with $4.8M positioned by 4,791 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$4.8M
24h Volume
$125K
Active Traders
4,791
This market resolves YES if china invade taiwan by march 31, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
1%
$48K staked
Market predicts YES
99%
$4.74M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$165K
24h Change
-0.5%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$4.79M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
MEDIUM
Score: 53/100
$4.8M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~28
Number of trades4,791
Total volume$4.8M
Liquidity$165K