World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

LIVE
23% YES
1.9% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 23% odds with $1.2M positioned by 1,200 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$1.2M
24h Volume
$31K
Active Traders
1,200

This market resolves YES if us x iran ceasefire by march 15. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

23%
$276K staked

Market predicts YES

77%
$925K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$117K
24h Change
-1.9%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$1.20M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.

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📈Part Of

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

7 markets$8.8M volume
Top Outcome
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?71.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 22/100
$1.2M traded · Deep liquidity
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KalshiTBD
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Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~0
Number of trades1,200
Total volume$1.2M
Liquidity$117K