World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

LIVE
62% YES
0.8% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 2, 2026, This outcome leads at 62% odds with $153K positioned by 153 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$153K
24h Volume
$4.0K
Active Traders
153

This market resolves YES if us x iran ceasefire by april 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

62%
$95K staked

Market predicts YES

38%
$58K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$38K
24h Change
+0.8%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$153K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.

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US x Iran ceasefire by...?

5 markets$3.7M volume
Top Outcome
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?62.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 11/100
$153K traded · Medium liquidity
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KalshiTBD
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~0
Number of trades153
Total volume$153K
Liquidity$38K