World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

LIVE
99% YES
0.9% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 99% odds with $115.5M positioned by 115,451 trades and resolves February 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Feb 2026
Total Volume
$115.5M
24h Volume
$3002K
Active Traders
115,451

This market resolves YES if khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

99%
$114.30M staked

Market predicts YES

1%
$1.15M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$6.04M
24h Change
+0.9%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$115.45M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The crowd is overwhelmingly convinced YES will happen. High conviction trades suggest strong consensus, but watch for contrarian signals if news shifts.

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Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 83/100
$115.5M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~-3
Number of trades115,451
Total volume$115.5M
Liquidity$6.0M